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Calculated Risks
How to Know When Numbers Deceive You  
By Gerd Gigerenzer
This edition: Trade Paperback, 320 pages
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Table of Contents
Table of Contents

Contents


ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

PART I DARE TO KNOW

  1. Uncertainty

  2. The Illusion of Certainty

  3. Innumeracy

  4. Insight


PART II UNDERSTANDING UNCERTAINTIES IN THE REAL WORLD

  1. Breast Cancer Screening

  2. (Un)Informed Consent

  3. AIDS Counseling

  4. Wife Battering

  5. Experts on Trial

  6. DNA Fingerprinting

  7. Violent People


PART III FROM INNUMERACY TO INSIGHT

  1. How Innumeracy Can Be Exploited

  2. Fun Problems

  3. Teaching Clear Thinking


GLOSSARY

NOTES

REFERENCES

INDEX